Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.012911 0.015891 0.019732 0.025194 0.033024 0.044309 0.062784
2024-10-06 0.009404 0.012644 0.017423 0.025462 0.039810 0.067384 0.135685
2024-10-13 0.007289 0.010275 0.015020 0.023843 0.042015 0.085265 0.241701
2024-10-20 0.006155 0.009000 0.013798 0.023495 0.046190 0.113014 0.498941
2024-10-27 0.005604 0.008499 0.013686 0.025140 0.056154 0.176293 1.778766
2024-11-03 0.005218 0.008178 0.013783 0.027264 0.069713 0.298694 21.543540
2024-11-10 0.004908 0.007921 0.013920 0.029567 0.087090 0.554097 NaN
2024-11-17 0.004473 0.007349 0.013260 0.029503 0.095946 0.853995 NaN
2024-11-24 0.004080 0.006798 0.012524 0.028933 0.102411 1.281725 NaN
2024-12-01 0.003631 0.006080 0.011283 0.026420 0.096485 1.391548 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003300 0.005562 0.010424 0.024864 0.094870 1.698989 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003086 0.005259 0.010019 0.024649 0.101494 2.818271 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002972 0.005171 0.010176 0.026658 0.129458 14.985604 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002783 0.004906 0.009856 0.026908 0.146899 144.605484 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002539 0.004495 0.009091 0.025159 0.142983 712.698278 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002377 0.004245 0.008704 0.024784 0.153648 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 0.002307 0.004188 0.008819 0.026559 0.197921 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 0.002254 0.004162 0.009013 0.028854 0.268725 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002204 0.004137 0.009206 0.031350 0.376152 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002096 0.003963 0.008927 0.031281 0.426857 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001986 0.003774 0.008575 0.030663 0.460793 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001841 0.003488 0.007893 0.027941 0.399939 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001728 0.003275 0.007413 0.026260 0.377271 NaN NaN